Counterproliferation Finance Detection and Deterrence
What Can Financial Institutions Do?
📅 April 23, 2024
The Justice Department in late 2022 charged two companies and six individuals for allegedly selling and exporting powerful dual-use technologies to Russia, including a high-precision export-controlled item that can be used for Russia’s nuclear proliferation. Some of the electronic components purchased by the network and sold to sanctioned Russian end-users were discovered in Russian weapons platforms on the Ukrainian battlefield. The case highlights how illicit actors use deceptive practices to mislead financial institutions into participating in schemes to send critical military equipment and dual-use technologies to military end-users in Russia.
In its 2024 National Proliferation Financing Risk Assessment, the U.S. Treasury identified proliferation networks operating on behalf of Russia, North Korea, China, Iran, Syria, and Pakistan as threats to U.S. national security. These networks exploited the U.S. financial system to finance the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), including financing to procure WMD components and raising revenues to support efforts by these state actors to advance their WMD activities. Treasury identified Russia and North Korea as the highest-risk threat actors because of the scope and sophistication of their efforts.
Because of heavy battlefield losses Russia has experienced since it began its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, Moscow has engaged with close partners to replenish its stocks of conventional weapons. Those losses have also increased Russia’s reliance on its nuclear, cyber, and space capabilities to maintain deterrence and project power globally, according to the Treasury assessment.
North Korea since 2022 has continued to augment its WMD capability, including testing of multiple types of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), according to the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) 2024 Threat Assessment. North Korea remains dedicated to expanding its nuclear capability, as well as enhancing its conventional missile capabilities, and will use both its offensive cyber capabilities and conventional trade control and sanctions evasion methodologies to steal and launder billions of dollars in cryptocurrencies to fund its WMD programs.
Non-state actors, such as terrorist groups are also working to acquire WMD capabilities, according to the Treasury risk assessment. The United States in March 2023 released a National Security Memorandum (NSM) on WMD Terrorism and Advance Nuclear and Radioactive Material Security. The NSM seeks to provide a framework to prevent non-state actors from acquiring WMD and related materials. However, Treasury has not assessed that the efforts of non-state actors to acquire WMDs have involved exploitation of the U.S. financial system.
Given the complex nature of the activities to hide proliferation financing, what can financial institutions do? The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) has provided indicators that could denote illicit activity and help financial institutions and other stakeholders identify high-risk customers and transactions. Some of these red flags are common methodologies used in sanctions and trade control evasion, fraud, and other financial crimes.
Although many of the indicators provided by FATF are also red flags that may denote trade-based money laundering, sanctions evasion, and other financial crimes, when coupled with the involvement of entities in jurisdictions at high risk of diversion or WMD proliferation, these red flags should be closely examined for possible proliferation concerns. The more indicators are present, the riskier the transaction. Financial institutions should monitor these transactions to detect and deter possible proliferation financing.
The size and sophistication of the U.S. financial system makes it particularly vulnerable for exploitation by illicit proliferation networks, and new technologies continue to enable illicit money transfers by malign actors. These actors use a combination of tried-and-true techniques and innovative strategies and technologies to transfer sensitive goods to restricted actors.
Financial institutions and virtual currency service providers must be aware of the emerging trends used by illicit actors—especially Russia and North Korea—to access restricted technologies and raise revenues for their WMD programs. Closely monitoring risky transactions, researching new proliferation financing methodologies, and putting together pieces of the counterproliferation puzzle will help avoid enforcement actions and secondary sanctions.
Over the past six months, the Russian Federation has vetoed a renewal of UN sanctions against Iran’s ballistic missile and UAV program, as well as a resolution extending the mandate of the UN Panel of Experts monitoring the sanctions on North Korea, while at the same time importing Iranian and North Korean UAVs and ballistic missiles for use in its war against Ukraine.
Russia’s vetoes have effectively dismantled the multilateral sanctions framework on Iran and abolished multilateral sanctions monitoring capabilities for North Korea. Russia’s procurement of North Korean ballistic missiles and Iranian UAVs in Ukraine further heighten proliferation finance and sanctions risk for the private sector.